Models · Muse Spark Open Preview · in testing

An estimated 20 to 30% off the GPU bill for Muse Spark Open.

Muse is built for long-context coding agents, where the KV cache is the main cost of serving. Every product that shrinks the cache raises throughput and cache hit rate together. This page is a preview: the figures are a rough model, and none of our products have been run on Muse yet.

Preview estimate: ten GPUs of serving cost today on the left, seven to eight with HyperCache on the right, 20 to 30 percent fewer.
$12.6Ma year of provider revenue at 50B tokens a day, estimate
$3M to $6Ma year of GPU cost to serve it, estimate
20 to 30%of that GPU cost, estimate
$0.7M to $1.6Ma year back, estimate
Preview estimate of yearly GPU cost saved serving Muse Spark Open at 50 billion tokens a day: $1.6M in the high case, $0.7M in the low case.

Preview estimate. A rough model of the GPU cost to serve 50 billion tokens a day, with 20 to 30% saved. None of our products have been run on Muse yet.

Volume and revenue, estimate

50 billion tokens a day is about $34k a day.

The input and output split is an assumption: coding-agent traffic is mostly input, so the model uses 95% input and 5% output. Prices are the token-weighted prices across providers, with 68% of input served from cache.

Tokens per dayPrice per millionRevenue per day
Input, 68% cache hits47.5Babout $0.50$23.8k
Output2.5B$4.25$10.6k
Total50B$34k, about $12.6M a year
What it costs to serve, estimate

About $3M to $6M a year of GPUs.

The model assumes 8×B200 nodes, about 800 GB of KV room per node, and an average context near 100k.

Decode

2.5B output tokens a day is about 29k tokens per second. A node holds about 220 sessions of 100k context, and reading the KV takes more than half of each decode step. That is about 3 nodes.

Prefill

32% of input misses the cache, about 15B tokens a day. That is about 1 to 2 nodes.

Total

About 4 to 5 nodes at full load. Real traffic is peaky, so at 30 to 40% utilisation it is about 10 to 15 nodes. At $3 to $4 per GPU-hour that is about $9k to $16k a day.

Savings by product, estimate

Where the $0.7M to $1.6M comes from.

ProductWhat it changes on MuseGPU cost cutPer year
KV cache compressionA smaller KV cache, so more sessions per node and less cache read per decode stepabout 15% of decode, if quality holds$0.3M to $0.6M
The same compression on the prefix cacheMore cached prefixes fit in memory, so the 68% hit rate could rise to about 75% and prefill work falls about 20%about 20% of prefill$0.2M to $0.4M
Sparse prefill (1.40× measured at 128k)Faster long-context prefillabout 25% of prefill$0.2M to $0.4M
KV Exact (lossless), instead of the compressed KV cacheA smaller gain with no accuracy riskabout 8% of decode$0.15M to $0.3M
MoE tiered expertsThe weights are already compressed, so the gain is unknownnot countednone
Combined: KV compression, prefix cache and sparse prefillabout 20 to 30% of GPU costabout $0.7M to $1.6M
Preview estimate of yearly GPU cost saved in the high case: $16M at 500 billion tokens a day, $1.6M at 50 billion.

If quality holds with more aggressive KV compression on Muse, the decode saving roughly doubles. Every figure scales with volume: at 500B tokens a day it is 10 times larger.

Status

Preview: in testing.

The costs on this page are estimated, and none of our products have been run on Muse Spark Open yet. The only figure here measured on a real model is the 1.40× sparse prefill speed-up at 128k, and that was not measured on Muse. Results will be published here once they are measured and re-checked.

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